Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fe66449f041a76388f0e525f40c4b1543b37577810cfe2747d7ca9ef19bb07

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $419,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $373,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,180 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	2c	49,021$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.85	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes	3c	27,397$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.89	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	5c	22,151$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.57	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes	3c	17,746$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.88	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	78c	15,000$11,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,299.95	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	4c	13,558$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.54	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed Yes	2c	11,774$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.96	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	22c	8,424$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880.43	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	7,800$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.57	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	6,901$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	21c	6,663$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	79c	4,901$3,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.2	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	5c	4,076$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.53	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	20c	3,983$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.56	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	15c	3,867$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	3,730$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.24	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	2c	3,611$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.41	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,243$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.19	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…cdcebacked Yes	4c	2,881$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.54	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	14c	2,752$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.61	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	21c	2,719$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.02	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	3c	2,700$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes	13c	2,460$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.61	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	2,286$1,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.04	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes	21c	2,225$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.25	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes	4c	2,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.6	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	4c	1,837$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.84	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes	24c	1,822$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	21c	1,800$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.72	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b9…0231backed Yes	6c	1,752$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes	6c	1,704$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	6c	1,599$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.53	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes	3c	1,469$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.38	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	21c	1,449$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.29	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes	20c	1,444$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.85	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…482dbacked Yes	4c	1,336$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.76	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	1,332$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	78c	1,312$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.17	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	20c	1,122$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.15	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1370…2cfdbacked Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed No	79c	999.99$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	20c	999.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	21c	999.88$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.98	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7627…6b72backed Yes	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes	22c	910.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	7c	905.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	871.05$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	21c	868.68$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.19	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	77c	802.93$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.74	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x816c…ac2cbacked Yes	22c	681.82$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed Yes	21c	681.54$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.12	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	680.24$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes	3c	667.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	245	37.1%91 W · 154 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	77c	600$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	13c	600$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	22c	590$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.2	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8503…4c75backed Yes	22c	563.24$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Yes	15c	558.82$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.82	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	76c	550.26$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.06	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…1181backed Yes	18c	550.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…859abacked Yes	4c	548.48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	16c	545.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.99	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	79c	543$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.03	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x897d…3c9ebacked Yes	4c	540$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2722…7e87backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes	21c	499.98$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	21c	499.96$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	3c	492$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	79c	485$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.85	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes	21c	479.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes	21c	476.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Yes	21c	471.42$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	176	50%88 W · 88 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	21c	470$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.07	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	18c	431.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.76	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Yes	24c	422.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x771a…6be6backed No	77c	413.33$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.07	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+216.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	4c	403.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	17c	400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes	21c	359.08$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	358.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No	79c	344.37$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.34	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	22c	327.27$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b07…60afbacked Yes	21c	309.52$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6c…5048backed No	80c	301.9$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.38	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	78c	294.21$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.84	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299e…25b6backed Yes	21c	285.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	80c	280$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe9de…354fbacked Yes	24c	258.33$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5231…326dbacked No	79c	253.98$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.34	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	21c	250$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	21c	240.7$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.65	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf99e…6831backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed No	78c	224.71$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.44	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event