TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa77c…587e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+298.8%+$397.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$111.37
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+137.3%+$823.61
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$156.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$140.96
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100.08
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.23
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$406.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.23
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$634.28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$361
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$389.92
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$224
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$289.64
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$144.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$224.12
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,993.04
Will Los Angeles Clippers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$243.22
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.98
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$229.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$170.66
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$532
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$279.59
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$395.12
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$357.78
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$331.53
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+80.1%+$339.68
Spread: Louisville (-18.5)backed California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$200
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$269.29
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$175.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$134
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.