TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Movistar KOI, Team Secret Whales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa19…4f3cbacked Team Secret Whales35c123,387$42,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,656.044223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Movistar KOI65c53,845$34,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,909.6611650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Movistar KOI69c34,356$23,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,650.6140370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Movistar KOI65c32,432$20,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,471.254854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1099…b0febacked Team Secret Whales35c24,879$8,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,784.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Movistar KOI44c10,788$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,071.1818340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc1…13fcbacked Team Secret Whales31c10,000$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1302227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Movistar KOI65c8,008$5,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8033745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked Movistar KOI48c6,999$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.461250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Movistar KOI43c6,651$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.191,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5073…59f0backed Team Secret Whales39c6,500$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5609348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Movistar KOI65c5,555$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.2441752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed Movistar KOI68c5,221$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.726467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Movistar KOI74c4,799$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.949149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Movistar KOI30c4,650$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.2212132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Team Secret Whales50c4,298$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.2125446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Movistar KOI67c3,906$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.9851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Movistar KOI69c3,817$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.47030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Movistar KOI65c3,139$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.761,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Team Secret Whales69c2,900$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.367544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Secret Whales50c2,822$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.9627346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Secret Whales58c2,646$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.1626164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Team Secret Whales5c2,582$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Secret Whales29c2,083$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.3481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x052c…8eb2backed Team Secret Whales3c2,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Team Secret Whales35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e59…a17cbacked Team Secret Whales69c1,965$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Movistar KOI67c1,822$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.2228746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Movistar KOI66c1,699$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.6819041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed Team Secret Whales9c1,510$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Team Secret Whales1c1,432$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.326732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Team Secret Whales6c1,403$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.233737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…47e6backed Movistar KOI48c1,396$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.162425%6 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked Movistar KOI43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.795166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed Team Secret Whales30c1,006$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Team Secret Whales1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Team Secret Whales13c1,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13247738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b7…d3d0backed Team Secret Whales51c899.99$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Movistar KOI32c893.33$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5311037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…98f4backed Team Secret Whales36c834.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Movistar KOI68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Secret Whales32c753.96$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8134837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Secret Whales2c735.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7212022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Movistar KOI70c710$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21324858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ad…cb3cbacked Team Secret Whales32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Movistar KOI66c594.56$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1540232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Team Secret Whales2c505.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1814425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Team Secret Whales2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Team Secret Whales42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Team Secret Whales58c469.24$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4417410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Movistar KOI68c442.47$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Movistar KOI71c435$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa95f…361dbacked Movistar KOI69c401.45$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.45580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e0…b495backed Team Secret Whales48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12a8…4864backed Team Secret Whales63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed1d…6fd3backed Movistar KOI71c396.46$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcc…afccbacked Team Secret Whales35c395.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.591729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Team Secret Whales34c386.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.831,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Movistar KOI66c369.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.812042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…9d19backed Movistar KOI56c357.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.271070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Movistar KOI67c342$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8614236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Team Secret Whales51c327.3$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.921,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Team Secret Whales49c327.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9229758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Team Secret Whales35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10525752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea75…55d5backed Team Secret Whales6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188159.3%48 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Movistar KOI50c292$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Movistar KOI70c287.01$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Movistar KOI70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…6967backed Team Secret Whales37c270.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a8…f341backed Team Secret Whales37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Movistar KOI67c269.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ca…73a1backed Team Secret Whales12c242.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Team Secret Whales34c234.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8136433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0c…3a36backed Team Secret Whales59c233$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae2…a1b3backed Team Secret Whales64c232.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d5…f86cbacked Team Secret Whales35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809136.3%33 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Movistar KOI66c226.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.326558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Team Secret Whales32c220.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.598947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5571…a167backed Team Secret Whales60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Secret Whales66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13221754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Movistar KOI35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.11944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Team Secret Whales50c196.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.225463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Secret Whales38c188.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4723624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Movistar KOI39c179.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.552538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f8…1092backed Team Secret Whales58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Movistar KOI67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Movistar KOI70c143.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8410363.1%65 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa14…ebb0backed Movistar KOI70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Team Secret Whales31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.225466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Secret Whales19c140$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.656317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd129…901cbacked Movistar KOI67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Movistar KOI70c114.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2711054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Movistar KOI44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6411839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Movistar KOI76c111.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.650569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efd…9e75backed Movistar KOI41c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.531136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…fcf2backed Team Secret Whales17c105.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Secret Whales38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4084050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Secret Whales29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Secret Whales54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Team Secret Whales50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.