TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc06a…f31f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,961.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,009
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+300.8%+$1,463.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,037Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$7,745.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,572Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$3,134.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.77
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,099.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,564.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,066.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,777.48
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$3,619.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,853Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$1,813.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,089Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+95.4%+$3,899.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,927.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,268Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+71.9%+$2,349.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+181.1%+$1,736.17
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,948.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,577.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+300%+$7,500
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,522.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,648Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$4,341.36
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+133.6%+$4,353.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$984.29
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,996.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$312.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,582Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$7,972.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15,576.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,979.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.