Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02fc88e2fb6afb41eed13445279070792ad6cb3e52ee95549066714f72ea226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Team Yandex | 50c | 38,246$19,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,023 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 49c | 16,958$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.26 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 11,005$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,664.46 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…63c8backed MOUZ | 50c | 7,204$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,840$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 3,666$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.16 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed MOUZ | 50c | 3,629$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MOUZ | 43c | 3,144$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 51c | 3,002$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.44 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,262$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.13 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 73c | 2,260$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.59 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 2,164$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.8 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,845$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,728$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,688$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,608$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.96 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,508$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.85 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…7db1backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,360$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,152$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.44 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,041$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.09 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 732.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 51c | 591.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 48c | 581.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 580$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed MOUZ | 50c | 579$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 529.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 436.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 422.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed MOUZ | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 370$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 50c | 349.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 305$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 45c | 269$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed MOUZ | 11c | 267.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex | 51c | 257.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 209.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…494dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…a8cbbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MOUZ | 49c | 198.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 187.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…8700backed Team Yandex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…e60abacked Team Yandex | 51c | 175.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3d85backed MOUZ | 41c | 159$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4f48backed Team Yandex | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Yandex | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…1ae5backed MOUZ | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed MOUZ | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 54c | 84.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Team Yandex | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed MOUZ | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…08d2backed MOUZ | 36c | 37.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 29.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Yandex | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…e99bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.