TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Anyone's Legend, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,895,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,241,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,895,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6155…7ebbbacked Anyone's Legend55c2,174,952$1,196,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196,893.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68b…8a19backed Anyone's Legend63c1,524,972$966,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966,764.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked T147c1,313,143$618,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694,717.234472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed T167c747,960$498,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249,306.284854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa19…4f3cbacked Anyone's Legend48c609,385$295,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295,393.344223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed T165c437,880$285,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,672.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed T148c372,084$177,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194,983.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed T148c312,500$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,5001060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0893…d896backed Anyone's Legend53c214,368$113,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,958.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed T143c211,207$91,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,392.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed T152c204,923$107,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,831.1611650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Anyone's Legend49c190,980$92,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,818.136433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x630b…228dbacked Anyone's Legend53c190,171$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed T143c181,462$77,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,482.217839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd799…3395backed Anyone's Legend53c159,669$84,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,108.093458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x720b…080ebacked T148c150,088$72,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,637.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed T148c141,393$67,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,123.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Anyone's Legend55c118,551$65,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,202.877751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Anyone's Legend51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.871450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed T133c91,332$29,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,422.095957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked T148c89,239$43,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,035.623148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Anyone's Legend53c87,907$46,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,590.612934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked T142c68,197$28,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,651.924928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed Anyone's Legend53c64,873$34,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,398.594753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed T170c63,895$44,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,942.1810653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5dc…11bbbacked T140c62,467$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,466.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+127.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed T147c61,000$28,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,504.8819239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed T149c59,199$29,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,113.531070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed T160c58,070$35,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,057.898655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Anyone's Legend43c56,492$24,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,070.585628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked T150c54,617$27,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,536.995251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Anyone's Legend53c54,352$28,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,806.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Anyone's Legend73c52,415$38,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,498.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Anyone's Legend53c50,639$26,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,848.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed T129c50,015$14,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,744.0225446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca1…0979backed T149c50,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,7002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed T152c49,594$26,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,564.661030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked T145c49,000$21,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,14090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…30d1backed T147c48,395$22,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,854.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked T133c45,814$14,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,817.6766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed T143c45,000$19,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,849.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6183…18d4backed T151c43,606$22,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,419.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Anyone's Legend46c42,569$19,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,527.012544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf445…df8abacked Anyone's Legend52c42,201$21,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,748.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked T139c39,432$15,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,088.783636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x075f…f783backed T145c36,319$16,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,940.832564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+67.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d64…f175backed Anyone's Legend51c33,663$17,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,131.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2be…5282backed T150c32,383$16,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,031.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Anyone's Legend59c32,237$19,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,094.262544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T146c32,180$14,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,332.881,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Anyone's Legend64c31,905$20,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,538.821822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Anyone's Legend38c31,357$11,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,827.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef7…15c6backed T127c30,332$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,142.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f9…4723backed T147c30,045$14,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,838.392665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed T134c29,248$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,248.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Anyone's Legend43c28,363$12,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,236.1918340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…b768backed T148c28,165$13,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,632.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Anyone's Legend53c27,981$14,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x439f…662bbacked T148c27,967$13,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,542.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed T171c27,620$19,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,124.2581143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T148c26,690$12,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,878.823447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7098…b948backed T148c26,500$12,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,714.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bf…c6e3backed T149c26,228$12,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,326.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6100…35e2backed T156c25,974$14,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,414.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed T128c25,849$7,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,675.955040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Anyone's Legend34c25,288$8,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,565.6135448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda8…2fd6backed T147c25,000$11,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2601250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Anyone's Legend25c25,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Anyone's Legend53c24,903$13,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,198.673366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Anyone's Legend53c24,567$12,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,908.931618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08a6…8632backed T166c24,485$16,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,341.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed T155c24,452$13,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,036.373935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked T134c23,832$8,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,620.6511548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a2…4f43backed Anyone's Legend47c23,610$11,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,018.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Anyone's Legend53c23,596$12,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,496.612445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed T149c23,424$11,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,937.611,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Anyone's Legend53c23,422$12,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,413.772965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked T149c23,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8006045%27 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4a…bc74backed T146c22,817$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,417.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+54.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Anyone's Legend50c22,639$11,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,424.2331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed T137c22,407$8,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,116.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf20…fff1backed T126c22,387$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,566.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked T146c22,112$10,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,987.2119146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed T148c22,092$10,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,487.673141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+67.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9338…8addbacked Anyone's Legend54c22,000$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,880966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…0397backed T151c21,847$11,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,645.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f33…63c8backed T145c21,780$9,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,978.976100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+108.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Anyone's Legend46c21,686$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed T150c21,322$10,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,716.43850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Anyone's Legend55c21,072$11,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,664.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed T140c20,874$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,628.9454353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a68…627dbacked T148c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Anyone's Legend29c20,472$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,966.217410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…f412backed T158c20,432$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,631.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…4fffbacked Anyone's Legend25c20,305$5,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,158.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…03a4backed T149c20,230$9,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,342.11687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed T149c20,119$9,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,277.7813846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked T137c20,018$7,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,687.873759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c55…36ecbacked Anyone's Legend0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked T175c20,000$15,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.713959%23 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.