TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe20…c8fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$653.12
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$405.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+109%+$18.74
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$371.62
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$263.65
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$308.97
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,583.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$326.7
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.8%+$642.42
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$354.7
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+126%+$629.94
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30,151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$11,151.64
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+606.9%+$25,885.39
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,830
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,603Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6,492.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legendbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+59.7%+$983.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+94.5%+$7,674.09
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,370
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.