TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legendof Bilibili Gaming, Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x467e…e2edbacked Bilibili Gaming8c208,238$15,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,858.431010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Bilibili Gaming30c61,456$18,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,525.2336433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bilibili Gaming33c29,068$9,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,46175630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Legend69c22,345$15,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,877.4923447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Legend80c19,850$15,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.986245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Bilibili Gaming8c12,546$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.044119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Bilibili Gaming31c8,912$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.5616439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming10c8,617$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.413,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Legend68c7,700$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.8411744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Legend68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9428746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Legend70c7,267$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.6611452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Legend68c6,565$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bilibili Gaming24c6,289$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Legend78c5,569$4,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.212361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Bilibili Gaming30c4,570$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.489020%18 W · 72 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a0…169fbacked Bilibili Gaming18c4,354$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Bilibili Gaming24c4,200$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0163935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Bilibili Gaming4c3,910$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.337516%12 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Legend73c3,903$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.6441752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Legend79c3,283$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.467230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Legend69c3,230$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Legend70c2,799$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.692378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c12…390bbacked Bilibili Gaming21c2,750$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e98…ae0fbacked Legend75c2,680$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67912152.1%63 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a06…bfc2backed Legend69c2,600$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Bilibili Gaming24c2,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59515147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Legend70c2,101$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.43825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Bilibili Gaming14c2,009$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Legend73c1,899$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.251,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Bilibili Gaming37c1,745$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.871330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Legend68c1,741$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.421,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Bilibili Gaming30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Legend69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46513063.8%83 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Bilibili Gaming9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42d…bd2dbacked Legend69c1,476$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.69540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Legend70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5715551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Legend69c1,392$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Legend70c1,268$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1214761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Legend69c1,199$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Legend60c1,166$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.251852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…6c70backed Legend71c1,071$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Bilibili Gaming22c1,065$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.621,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a8…85b6backed Bilibili Gaming1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaae…ee3cbacked Bilibili Gaming11c880$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc04…a7abbacked Legend69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Legend71c850$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Legend61c825$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Bilibili Gaming15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Bilibili Gaming47c800$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.081540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed Legend68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Legend65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Legend69c764.11$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.231,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Legend69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Bilibili Gaming17c718$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…0f3fbacked Bilibili Gaming33c711.69$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Bilibili Gaming7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Legend69c682.68$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.632638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Legend70c575.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.571,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9647…c18abacked Legend70c570.6$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Legend65c500$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Legend79c500$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4350569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Bilibili Gaming22c500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6da…59a5backed Bilibili Gaming31c474.88$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c9…d707backed Legend73c450$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.52774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Bilibili Gaming33c440.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4241945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Legend69c408.48$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6320563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Bilibili Gaming9c380.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.984723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Legend68c366.18$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1841060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Legend63c359.87$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1536465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Bilibili Gaming32c358.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6412360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Legend69c333.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bilibili Gaming30c312.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6392450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Bilibili Gaming32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…1da1backed Bilibili Gaming20c283.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.631957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Legend71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed Legend70c278.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.454040%16 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Bilibili Gaming8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023041.7%96 W · 134 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…9fcfbacked Legend71c247.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.884252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5559…aa40backed Bilibili Gaming21c242.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.97425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc24a…fdbcbacked Bilibili Gaming7c220.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527439.2%29 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6c…9536backed Bilibili Gaming32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed Legend68c218$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.768356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Legend68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Legend64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed Bilibili Gaming30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Legend69c179.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.549451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Bilibili Gaming16c177.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0621448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…00a8backed Bilibili Gaming32c174.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07be…8bf9backed Legend69c174$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.946955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa0…84e4backed Bilibili Gaming31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0bb…a95bbacked Legend70c161.07$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.323844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x408b…7163backed Bilibili Gaming16c157.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Bilibili Gaming30c156.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.845259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Legend69c154.22$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.818046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…afe3backed Legend70c152.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.863174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x808f…87b2backed Legend71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Legend69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9530243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Legend69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Legend69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9325752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.