Lol · resolved market
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b4e7e8f8b9a0d627f830b0a330808e4a2f8305a2430778eb2a5b422142572e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Legend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,279,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,488,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,279,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Legend | 54c | 190,672$103,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,138.2 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Legend | 42c | 82,220$34,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,623.6 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…e2edbacked Legend | 0c | 69,542$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked T1 | 59c | 43,117$25,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,865.42 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Legend | 42c | 41,140$17,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,224.84 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed T1 | 59c | 31,080$18,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,785.65 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed T1 | 46c | 29,827$13,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,016.52 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked Legend | 73c | 26,162$18,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,977.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed T1 | 29c | 24,268$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,235.53 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Legend | 47c | 24,000$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,279.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Legend | 45c | 20,061$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…c5ffbacked T1 | 53c | 18,830$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed T1 | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legend | 39c | 11,129$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.78 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed T1 | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed T1 | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Legend | 44c | 9,090$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.69 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed T1 | 52c | 7,668$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.52 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed T1 | 45c | 6,900$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.54 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked Legend | 56c | 5,335$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed T1 | 44c | 5,259$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.74 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed T1 | 67c | 4,924$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.79 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed T1 | 49c | 4,900$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed T1 | 43c | 4,884$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed T1 | 44c | 4,596$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.4 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…b8a1backed T1 | 51c | 4,315$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Legend | 43c | 4,025$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.83 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…85b6backed Legend | 24c | 3,956$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed T1 | 45c | 3,923$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.85 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed T1 | 44c | 3,848$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked T1 | 53c | 3,836$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.84 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 | 49c | 3,779$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.37 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed T1 | 46c | 3,100$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.06 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked T1 | 55c | 2,851$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed T1 | 64c | 2,585$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed T1 | 70c | 2,462$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed T1 | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.89 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legend | 43c | 2,353$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.3 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed T1 | 52c | 2,278$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.38 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T1 | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.73 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Legend | 1c | 2,169$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Legend | 5c | 1,982$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed T1 | 33c | 1,971$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked T1 | 59c | 1,906$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed T1 | 47c | 1,900$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.37 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed T1 | 59c | 1,900$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.99 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…fbc3backed T1 | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed T1 | 56c | 1,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.82 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked T1 | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked T1 | 57c | 1,739$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.61 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Legend | 43c | 1,728$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked T1 | 44c | 1,702$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed T1 | 56c | 1,639$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…a140backed T1 | 60c | 1,566$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked T1 | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.74 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Legend | 47c | 1,510$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Legend | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed T1 | 58c | 1,466$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Legend | 43c | 1,229$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.66 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed T1 | 57c | 1,227$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…1751backed Legend | 6c | 1,160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed T1 | 53c | 1,124$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…a7abbacked T1 | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…2d70backed Legend | 43c | 1,051$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Legend | 53c | 1,035$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed T1 | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed T1 | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…543abacked T1 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked T1 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 342 | 44.7%153 W · 189 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Legend | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Legend | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed T1 | 71c | 995.66$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed T1 | 52c | 981.18$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed T1 | 56c | 911.75$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…442abacked Legend | 74c | 910$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…3674backed T1 | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked T1 | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked T1 | 55c | 890$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed Legend | 54c | 867.16$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…6d3ebacked Legend | 71c | 802.2$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed T1 | 55c | 761.82$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.82 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Legend | 45c | 750$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked T1 | 51c | 704.51$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd4…417ebacked T1 | 39c | 696.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…bfc2backed Legend | 44c | 695.45$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…955cbacked T1 | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Legend | 56c | 684.53$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked T1 | 46c | 654.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Legend | 53c | 652.94$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Legend | 51c | 641.51$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked T1 | 52c | 618.37$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.51 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed T1 | 54c | 570$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked T1 | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Legend | 45c | 544.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Legend | 74c | 523.04$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…7343backed T1 | 53c | 520$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Legend | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…6200backed T1 | 47c | 496.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Legend | 53c | 494.47$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.