TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x832b…3ae1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
741
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT29758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 297 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$294.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.08
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.13
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.98
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$634.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.91
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$590.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$664.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$436
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$363.18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Hanwha Life Esports Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.38
Showing 25 of 297 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT7556%42 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.36
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$225
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+74.5%+$123.37
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$152.33
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56%+$2,444.37
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$463
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.31
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$137.44
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.4%+$113.83
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.64
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.6%+$349
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+50.1%+$272.28
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$696.03
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$52.14
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$39.96
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+60%+$115.27
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.29
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.5
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+274.7%+$105.96
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$395
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+271.4%+$3,519.21
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.7%+$166
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$263.92
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$534.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$128
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,185.88
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$259.05
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.74
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$184
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$469.07
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.2
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+44.4%+$104.89
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$164.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$3,366.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$607.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+131%+$794
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$189.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$472
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.1%+$404.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$783.33
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$140.4
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46.47
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Trump say "Princess" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,437.86
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$1,560.34
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$873
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$68.25
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,795.75
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$248.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.75
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$367.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.67
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,123.7
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$80.7
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.2%+$107.42
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$62.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+82.5%+$131.81
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.19
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+145.3%+$392.37
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$172.69
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.26
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.13
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$76.22
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$59.24
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,801Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$891.9
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$589.52
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$346.72
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$198.41
Will Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Elon Musk say "Vine" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.9
Will Elon Musk say "Imagine/Veo" 3 or more times during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.35
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$99.65
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Islanders vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$188
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$110.99
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$164
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$231
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37.8%+$113.35
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$174.99
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$341
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66.25
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$248
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.94
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$387.7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.6
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+43.1%+$211
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+52.4%+$125.04
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61%+$28.04
Will Trump say "King" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.3%+$27.9
Will Trump say "Boeing" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$82.9
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$124.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.58
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.21
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.6
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$405
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$402
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.4
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$256.2
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$105.43
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+26.3%+$53.09
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+73.4%+$192.79
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$323
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$210.5
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$113.05
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.12
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37%+$81
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+142.7%+$113.73
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+101.6%+$151.2
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$100
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+341.1%+$232.2
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$94.85
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.97
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$201.13
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.9
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$175.43
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$82.18
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$160.44
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.18
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.37
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$29.54
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.14
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$164
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$105
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46%+$315
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$137.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.5
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.41
Ethereum all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$144.05
Solana all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+133.5%+$474.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.7
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.3%+$330.91
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$346.99
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+48.7%+$245.02
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$96.2
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.17
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+483.2%+$164.3
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$57.95
Will Elon tweet 150-159 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$92.99
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.61
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$55.4
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$147.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$141.3
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+54%+$52.6
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$12.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.4
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$193.33
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+147.7%+$919.25
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$227
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+97%+$557.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+448.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$88
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.89
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$156.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,566Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,444.5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$955.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+45.2%+$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$127.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.