UFC · resolved market
Will Trump attend UFC 319?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc45d3079cb68f6b0412c68f625e1ff3e78757412e3d597d3fa08adbc31330008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes | 23c | 78,264$17,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,686.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Yes | 10c | 41,050$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.18 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 19c | 37,886$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,193.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 11c | 27,858$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 10c | 14,727$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 7c | 10,817$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.21 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 75c | 8,000$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…4de8backed Yes | 12c | 7,772$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…290fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,645$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 80c | 6,855$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 5,400$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…4d23backed Yes | 8c | 5,195$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…021fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,146$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed No | 80c | 5,025$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 77c | 4,424$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.47 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 80c | 3,555$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 79c | 3,361$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…79d2backed Yes | 21c | 3,309$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed No | 79c | 3,248$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 80c | 3,173$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 78c | 2,588$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.99 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 78c | 2,554$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 79c | 2,410$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 79c | 2,144$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…e13dbacked No | 78c | 1,924$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,903$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,815$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 1,614$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 79c | 1,538$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked No | 73c | 1,527$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 1,467$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,433$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,365$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 78c | 1,364$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,361$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…edd0backed Yes | 1c | 1,353$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…9f51backed No | 79c | 1,264$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,121$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…20c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,095$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 79c | 1,062$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 77c | 909.41$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…712abacked No | 78c | 766.97$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 13c | 754.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 683.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 77c | 626.01$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed No | 80c | 616.41$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 10c | 569.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 4c | 564.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 504.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…035cbacked Yes | 6c | 455$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 74c | 436.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 430.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 11c | 411.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…bc00backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 12c | 382$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…bdf1backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…5d3bbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 70c | 286.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 13c | 280.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 280.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…a67dbacked No | 75c | 278.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…cb0cbacked No | 73c | 274.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…68ecbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 68c | 251.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…cd2cbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80e…afe1backed Yes | 44c | 230.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 19c | 218.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…5facbacked No | 80c | 193.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 10c | 192.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…a83cbacked No | 79c | 178.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 32c | 177.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 21c | 170$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…1065backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 72c | 152.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 79c | 141$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…6b22backed No | 79c | 132.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…32cbbacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…682cbacked No | 79c | 124.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 67c | 121.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…4598backed No | 80c | 112.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 108.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…ba11backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…63c3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…ff7dbacked Yes | 17c | 71.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.