TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,097,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,099,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,097,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under50c584,473$292,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,198.3520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c350,000$175,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under51c253,874$128,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,837.2667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c149,938$74,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,969.1738748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c140,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c80,885$40,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,512.3436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over49c60,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,6007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c50,816$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,816.3324349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under50c36,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c25,000$12,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.843243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over50c18,888$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,44421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c18,248$9,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,149.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c15,592$7,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,793.251,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over51c11,981$6,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,912.148848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c11,526$5,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,762.8351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c9,025$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,453.492,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c8,544$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c7,061$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.2240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c6,870$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.7566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under50c6,070$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03538844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c5,661$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.6128251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c4,781$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.7256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over50c4,500$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,26521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,978$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over49c3,828$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.534845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c3,227$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over51c2,978$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.796949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,900$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.6791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over50c2,590$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.033327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,171$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c2,159$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over51c2,050$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under51c1,050$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3931848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c562.07$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over50c532.92$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4618151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Over51c519.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.151020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over50c503$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.530349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24526547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Over51c491.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Under51c429.19$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20078038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa17e…7584backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over73c378.15$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.18368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over51c376.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.471752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Over51c339.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c317.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5819651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c264.29$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.527453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2605…cb76backed Under54c218.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under49c173.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over51c170.78$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6832451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c162$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3813557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over50c159.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.213158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.55437%20 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7526243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Under50c147.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.532462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under50c147$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over62c143.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.742,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Under40c126.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over61c123.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.829553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed Over50c121.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c117.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c102.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.322352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under50c100.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0722655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021243.4%92 W · 120 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee81…328cbacked Under51c98.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…dc7fbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under52c97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.448042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over50c96.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.265759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Under51c91.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.