NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74b9a783b96cd3e276885cd21ebcd344941b8f44621c07dfa46c91752d64edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Panthers, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1375…a070backed Bruins | 66c | 1,522$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Panthers | 34c | 1,522$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Panthers | 33c | 720.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers | 31c | 491.38$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Panthers | 33c | 478.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Bruins | 69c | 463.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bruins | 68c | 353.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 40c | 313.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Bruins | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Bruins | 65c | 262$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins | 61c | 260.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Panthers | 34c | 257.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Panthers | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 69c | 217.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Panthers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruins | 39c | 127.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Panthers | 31c | 120.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bruins | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bruins | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Panthers | 37c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Panthers | 37c | 87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Panthers | 36c | 82.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Panthers | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 62c | 79.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 65c | 79.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bruins | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bruins | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Bruins | 65c | 69.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Panthers | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panthers | 33c | 63.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Panthers | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 37c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bruins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…b0d3backed Panthers | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Bruins | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Bruins | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Bruins | 66c | 38.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Panthers | 36c | 34.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Bruins | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Panthers | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Bruins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Bruins | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Panthers | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Panthers | 35c | 29.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Bruins | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Bruins | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Bruins | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Bruins | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Bruins | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 64c | 25.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Panthers | 64c | 23.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Bruins | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Bruins | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 68c | 21.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Bruins | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Bruins | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bruins | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Bruins | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Bruins | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.