NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a3da05a53bf2b5dd4b4cdb966b336436a44df5179f80f42c150f8a13f30e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 2,844$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 1,227$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 60c | 998.28$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.57 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 60c | 410$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 39c | 325$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 61c | 321.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 61c | 178.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 40c | 170.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 60c | 137.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 60c | 83.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 52.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 50.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…b0d3backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 60c | 39.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 42c | 36.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…f5debacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Over | 61c | 26.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 72c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.