TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe726…958e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.52
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.55
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.06
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.93
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.24
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$36.96
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.8%+$25.9
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.51
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$39.55
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.