TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$752,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$783,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c306,501$165,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,452.3720354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c237,315$109,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,150.3156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Over54c178,332$96,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,299.084654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under46c166,193$76,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,411.9939047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under48c70,168$33,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,622.8148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c35,000$18,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5501,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over52c32,057$16,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,690.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over52c27,149$14,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,117.7326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under46c24,049$11,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,969.5693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.988657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over53c12,506$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.2451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4801,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.38848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under46c9,999$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.4613363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7d9…878fbacked Over55c8,800$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,840714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Under45c8,800$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under46c8,500$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,59026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c7,726$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.991,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c7,147$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c6,553$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.1261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c6,000$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,14022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under47c5,844$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.4714753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c5,664$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.031,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c5,589$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.9628251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a1…85b3backed Over55c5,090$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62531550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c3,070$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.851,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c2,925$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.4233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over24c2,867$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c2,315$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.6991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.857347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10db…bd7abacked Under45c1,900$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…39e2backed Under45c1,690$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…6076backed Under45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c1,452$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c1,279$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.442,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under47c1,203$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.822556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under46c1,187$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.7216254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58320751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over54c1,005$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.5430855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over22c989.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3561848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c967.47$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7627453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over9c939.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.577230.6%22 W · 50 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+218.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c924$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.4983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under47c888$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6433447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c875$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.7579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over31c835.58$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.521,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c822$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over42c731.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2818262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Under46c698.04$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.942050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over53c660.81$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.231,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over18c642.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.671,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over36c591.78$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.742254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad14…34fdbacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over53c544$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.329157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over53c528.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.837149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under47c482.58$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.988245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over35c450$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.210667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over54c434.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.789150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Over42c425.66$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2810251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over34c399.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.326656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.835752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over25c385.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1411949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over28c383.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over37c374.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.258368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c352.48$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.912,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Over54c336.78$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over26c315.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under47c301.17$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.627254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Over39c288.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.564946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over53c262.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under46c233.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0719356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Over54c229$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Over11c223.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over29c209.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2213437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under72c201.7$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c187.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.962,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over20c187$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.171,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Over54c180.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.163268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over54c180.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.259149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5052…cf5cbacked Under48c180.08$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over40c179.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.21,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.