NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5b189b04818014e796a6978b1f1e4f842cec8fe4b0f2aa2daa4b2ab7cc59b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,014,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,029,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Flyers | 52c | 462,357$242,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,140.49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders | 48c | 291,975$138,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,140.26 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 48c | 110,000$52,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,199.89 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 49c | 107,776$52,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,465.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 51c | 73,939$37,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,708.8 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flyers | 52c | 50,590$26,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,306.91 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Islanders | 49c | 23,951$11,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,215.2 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flyers | 50c | 19,139$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.73 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 47c | 14,794$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,783.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Islanders | 49c | 12,429$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.57 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…7697backed Islanders | 49c | 12,320$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 48c | 12,240$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.29 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…6e17backed Flyers | 51c | 12,069$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 49c | 10,000$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.67 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Islanders | 49c | 9,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Islanders | 50c | 8,522$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.95 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 48c | 8,022$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.07 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…d4e6backed Flyers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…c8c6backed Islanders | 49c | 7,949$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…48fcbacked Islanders | 49c | 7,700$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 11c | 7,444$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.29 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 47c | 7,421$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.73 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Islanders | 49c | 7,083$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.53 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Islanders | 48c | 7,000$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 50c | 6,584$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 44c | 6,500$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 51c | 5,982$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 52c | 5,972$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.6 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 64c | 5,394$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Flyers | 51c | 5,226$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.1 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Flyers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…fa27backed Flyers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Flyers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Flyers | 51c | 3,948$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 52c | 3,887$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,886$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.72 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 1c | 3,367$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Flyers | 13c | 3,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 24c | 3,070$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.41 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Flyers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Flyers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.96 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…f570backed Flyers | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 70c | 2,445$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 48c | 2,367$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.84 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 17c | 2,323$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 17c | 2,297$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 49c | 2,206$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.54 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.68 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Islanders | 50c | 2,012$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Islanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.1 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Flyers | 52c | 2,000$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.32 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…9c87backed Flyers | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…41d9backed Islanders | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 51c | 1,932$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 48c | 1,907$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.54 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…1e8bbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,891$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…b179backed Islanders | 48c | 1,891$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 24c | 1,879$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 72c | 1,873$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flyers | 23c | 1,845$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.39 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 25c | 1,833$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 2c | 1,781$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 51c | 1,676$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flyers | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Flyers | 10c | 1,519$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Flyers | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.58 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,251$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 70c | 1,227$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 31c | 1,224$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.11 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…5c76backed Flyers | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…09f3backed Islanders | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…fa57backed Flyers | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…3ad0backed Islanders | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…1485backed Flyers | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…01fbbacked Islanders | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…07f2backed Flyers | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…de9fbacked Islanders | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…aabcbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…10b4backed Islanders | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…c16ebacked Islanders | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…07c9backed Flyers | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…944bbacked Islanders | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…4b78backed Islanders | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…5acdbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…e8a9backed Flyers | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e0…cfaabacked Islanders | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…5b5fbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,211$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…a7bfbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…7bccbacked Islanders | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Flyersthis page
- Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.