NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d70010a093d469a6984264bd7c1715a3ebaa53f305aa91b28cada32f8c772d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Nuggets | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.92 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Nuggets | 52c | 50,023$26,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,011.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 49c | 42,062$20,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,610.38 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Wizards | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 48c | 31,478$15,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,110.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 47c | 30,922$14,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,428.71 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Wizards | 49c | 20,403$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Nuggets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 51c | 15,410$7,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.09 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 48c | 15,014$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 48c | 14,347$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Wizards | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,093$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Wizards | 51c | 9,912$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.67 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wizards | 46c | 9,079$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.41 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 54c | 7,217$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 47c | 6,768$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.99 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 49c | 6,213$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.59 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 47c | 5,341$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.62 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 47c | 5,202$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 48c | 4,668$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,535$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.96 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,027$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.52 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…a392backed Wizards | 49c | 3,678$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…1bcabacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,091$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…bd11backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,066$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…def7backed Wizards | 50c | 3,032$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…39d3backed Wizards | 50c | 2,791$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…ad01backed Wizards | 50c | 2,776$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…944dbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,665$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…adcabacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,658$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…f864backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,588$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…d173backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,575$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…ec1cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…3d16backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,553$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b22bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…45debacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…01a6backed Wizards | 50c | 2,515$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…cccfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,456$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ba0fbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,307$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…b835backed Wizards | 50c | 2,306$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…a9b6backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,294$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,188$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 47c | 2,143$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 47c | 2,133$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…4a85backed Wizards | 50c | 2,089$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…296ebacked Wizards | 50c | 2,073$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…34bcbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,063$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…5eabbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…3862backed Wizards | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…f415backed Wizards | 50c | 2,041$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…2e54backed Wizards | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Wizards | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Wizards | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.84 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…2f35backed Wizards | 50c | 1,925$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,889$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.61 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…3195backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,888$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65d…cd83backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,799$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…90d8backed Wizards | 50c | 1,778$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Wizards | 54c | 1,544$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…81bdbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,531$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…6e3dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Wizards | 49c | 1,407$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…da7ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,384$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,322$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.69 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,304$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Wizards | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…eca5backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…a5bebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,259$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Nuggets | 53c | 951.46$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 900.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.86 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Wizards | 49c | 884.55$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.43 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…2949backed Nuggets | 50c | 866$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…d369backed Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Wizards | 49c | 639$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Wizards | 49c | 630$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Wizards | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Wizards | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Nuggets | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Nuggets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Wizards | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Nuggets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Nuggets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Wizards | 51c | 323.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…1bf8backed Wizards | 50c | 319$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WizardsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.