NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x497a1840266568bbf4872c2e2949dfc1e92ef3b310072ffb310ee1d958fafd7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 50c | 106,000$52,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,400 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 86,058$42,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,716.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 52c | 59,035$30,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,588.81 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 51c | 55,824$28,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,457.43 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Over | 51c | 49,999$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.54 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 38,069$19,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,754.65 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 29,458$14,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,041.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 49c | 21,100$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,747.94 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 20,620$9,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 10,502$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.04 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 5,429$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.57 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 5,020$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.41 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.99 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,159$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 2,281$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.37 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 51c | 2,122$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.09 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 53c | 1,862$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.26 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 50c | 1,724$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.24 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,561$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.51 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 1,407$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.65 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 1,114$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Over | 52c | 1,057$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 6c | 1,009$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 51c | 970$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 52c | 912.1$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.29 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 612.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 586.68$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 551$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.01 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 11c | 539.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66f…18efbacked Over | 17c | 514.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…0332backed Over | 52c | 499.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Over | 51c | 481.16$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 5c | 417.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 52c | 380.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 366.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 365.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 311.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 260.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 52c | 252.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 52c | 228.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 210.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 52c | 182.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 50c | 129.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 121.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 118.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Over | 50c | 103.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 81.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 20c | 80.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 52c | 63.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Over | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 52c | 61.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 52c | 61.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…58ecbacked Over | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 59.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…a71fbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…74bcbacked Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 54.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 51c | 53.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 52.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Over | 52c | 47.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 42.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 50c | 41.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WizardsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.