NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab257cde8b78dfbb723c3c5356e667f4d475adac090103050bcdfab236083390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,607,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,740,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,607,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,041 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 68c | 210,731$144,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,477.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 194,740$136,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,422.13 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.95 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 30c | 90,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.96 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards | 30c | 82,000$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,600.01 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 68c | 53,627$36,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,915.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 67c | 49,827$33,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,442.78 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 30c | 42,264$12,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,676.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 32c | 38,064$12,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,088.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 30c | 33,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Wizards | 31c | 31,433$9,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,686.56 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 32c | 23,000$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.9 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 30c | 21,778$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,601.17 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards | 30c | 20,005$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,051.54 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 70c | 19,982$13,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080.29 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 71c | 19,307$13,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.04 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 31c | 18,997$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.19 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Wizards | 32c | 18,759$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.76 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…f5c6backed Nuggets | 69c | 16,152$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 16c | 16,100$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.6 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 32c | 15,500$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.99 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 20c | 15,255$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.79 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets | 69c | 15,180$10,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.72 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.95 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 78c | 13,494$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.32 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 32c | 12,519$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.98 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Nuggets | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Wizards | 30c | 11,999$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.69 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 33c | 11,342$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards | 31c | 11,290$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 30c | 10,674$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.04 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Wizards | 29c | 10,150$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.53 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Wizards | 1c | 10,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Wizards | 31c | 9,310$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 70c | 9,224$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Wizards | 32c | 8,050$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Wizards | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Wizards | 32c | 8,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wizards | 32c | 7,640$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.22 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 77c | 7,330$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Nuggets | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Wizards | 26c | 7,230$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.87 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Wizards | 32c | 6,767$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.44 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Wizards | 32c | 6,688$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 19c | 6,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 15c | 6,336$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 31c | 6,100$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…9ba8backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,966$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Wizards | 18c | 5,743$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Wizards | 32c | 5,733$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.65 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 77c | 5,698$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 26c | 5,170$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.53 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…190ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 5,165$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8dacbacked Wizards | 31c | 5,113$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Wizards | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Wizards | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Nuggets | 78c | 4,995$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.59 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1a7ebacked Wizards | 31c | 4,880$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0653…4de0backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,830$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wizards | 31c | 4,434$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.04 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 74c | 4,419$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Wizards | 31c | 4,419$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.96 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…9bf6backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…a09ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Wizards | 30c | 4,203$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…aa46backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…31a2backed Wizards | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Wizards | 32c | 3,997$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards | 17c | 3,989$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.07 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards | 31c | 3,874$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 3,817$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.15 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Wizards | 32c | 3,641$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.07 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Wizards | 43c | 3,450$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 1c | 3,410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Wizards | 31c | 3,252$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards | 32c | 3,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 32c | 3,200$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 30c | 3,140$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.56 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 68c | 3,115$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wizards | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Nuggets | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…a712backed Wizards | 32c | 2,900$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…2276backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,900$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked Wizards | 28c | 2,860$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.82 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,824$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.1 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 31c | 2,700$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 30c | 2,700$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…b208backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,574$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.