NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff5b2c31943c863882357f278629e6eee7e8c3e7ec3b163bb0af577c0ed6b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 50c | 26,646$13,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,383.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Nuggets | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 50c | 19,856$9,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 17,584$8,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Wizards | 53c | 14,629$7,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,753.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 5,206$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.85 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 11c | 3,378$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Wizards | 54c | 2,313$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,313$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Wizards | 53c | 2,191$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,068$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Wizards | 53c | 2,068$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 50c | 1,975$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,867$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 46c | 1,821$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wizards | 55c | 1,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Wizards | 53c | 1,494$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.82 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.92 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,243$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.94 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,040$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…f21dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 999$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…08c3backed Nuggets | 46c | 966$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 52c | 844$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Wizards | 53c | 811.32$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 51c | 784.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 690.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 53c | 609.27$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.91 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Nuggets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nuggets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 66c | 395.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Wizards | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…0a11backed Wizards | 54c | 369$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…3499backed Wizards | 54c | 366$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wizards | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…6275backed Wizards | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 344$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nuggets | 6c | 337.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…5554backed Wizards | 55c | 331$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Wizards | 53c | 316.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…bfcebacked Wizards | 55c | 308$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Wizards | 53c | 291.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1ad1backed Wizards | 54c | 231$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Wizards | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nuggets | 48c | 226$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Wizards | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Wizards | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Wizards | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nuggets | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…902cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards | 20c | 142.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Nuggets | 40c | 141.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Wizards | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 50c | 111.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 52c | 100.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wizards | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Wizards | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Wizards | 52c | 95.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 52c | 83.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Wizards | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Wizards | 50c | 71.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 53c | 63.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets | 48c | 61.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards | 46c | 60.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Wizards | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wizards | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…cf5cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 58.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…818cbacked Wizards | 47c | 56.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nuggets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Nuggets | 47c | 49.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Wizards | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 48c | 39.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Wizards | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wizards | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 48c | 32.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…05e1backed Nuggets | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WizardsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.