TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe70d…dd35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$145.81
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$106.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.44
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56%+$229.01
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$83.47
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.74
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.68
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$325.3
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$379.61
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.34
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$60.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$45.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$64.75
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$177.61
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.02
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT11955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.13
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.31
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$615.05
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25.9%+$431.77
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$812.36
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$477.2
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$212
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.63
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72%+$64.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.92
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+30%+$102.13
BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.33
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.3%+$116.5
BNP Paribas Open: Adam Walton vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.24
Antalya 2: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.52
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.62
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$89.52
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35%+$104.99
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$75
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$595
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$850
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$235.18
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+57.6%+$241.67
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$110.25
Hobart International: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+221.7%+$66.35
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.77
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$143.89
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33.85
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$129.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.2%+$68.43
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$66.58
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3)backed ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.6%+$51.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$164.97
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+30.1%+$22.26
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Universe (BO3)backed Universe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30%+$29.96
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.6%+$9.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick67cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$97.26
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,546.6
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$309.9
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$699.2
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.8%+$66.67
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.9%+$9.99
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$9
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47.72
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+41.6%+$24.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$197.37
California Golden Bears vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46.4%+$22.2
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsbacked USC Upstate Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+115.6%+$17.34
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+400%+$71.11
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+251%+$112.93
San Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+36.2%+$21.92
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.83
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.9%+$139.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.