Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Golden Bears vs. Miami Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3302f8b00723f31de7c1c067b8ef2e6aa88e2618176d98df46f968dc36b45ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof California Golden Bears, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 5,141$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Miami Hurricanes | 70c | 3,527$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears | 69c | 2,945$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked California Golden Bears | 26c | 2,293$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears | 23c | 1,263$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Miami Hurricanes | 3c | 1,192$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Miami Hurricanes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Miami Hurricanes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked California Golden Bears | 46c | 1,095$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.97 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Miami Hurricanes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears | 22c | 905.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.96 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 879.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.31 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears | 15c | 874.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.73 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California Golden Bears | 24c | 834.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.17 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California Golden Bears | 29c | 829.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 810.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 657.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Miami Hurricanes | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 530.65$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Miami Hurricanes | 28c | 510.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 483.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Hurricanes | 73c | 415.88$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 413.52$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…ef18backed Miami Hurricanes | 79c | 366.74$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed California Golden Bears | 77c | 346.75$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 35c | 317.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California Golden Bears | 31c | 303.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 257.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 241.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 213.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 201.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed California Golden Bears | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 22c | 192.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami Hurricanes | 80c | 168$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Miami Hurricanes | 61c | 152.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed California Golden Bears | 20c | 152.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked California Golden Bears | 8c | 147.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 142.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked California Golden Bears | 12c | 130$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Hurricanes | 63c | 121.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked California Golden Bears | 16c | 117.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked California Golden Bears | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…7007backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 105.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 94.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…43a2backed California Golden Bears | 12c | 93.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +320.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Miami Hurricanes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed California Golden Bears | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed California Golden Bears | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 70c | 62.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed California Golden Bears | 25c | 61.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed California Golden Bears | 30c | 48.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Miami Hurricanes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 36.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 34.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Golden Bears vs. Miami Hurricanesthis page
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-10.5)California Golden Bears won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-11.5)California Golden Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.