NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ad92bf65351f580c2aa9a80561c52c98948def323c812153bf095b2792e35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Celtics, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 54c | 31,552$17,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,114.46 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 46c | 13,651$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 48c | 6,805$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.51 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Nets | 47c | 5,101$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.3 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Nets | 47c | 4,492$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.12 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,167$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Celtics | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 51c | 1,873$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nets | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.5 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 46c | 1,000$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.69 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nets | 47c | 881.53$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.1 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 54c | 838$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Celtics | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Nets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Celtics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Nets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Nets | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Celtics | 53c | 304.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed Celtics | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 46c | 114.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…ffb7backed Celtics | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 47c | 92.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Nets | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…fdcfbacked Celtics | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Nets | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nets | 48c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nets | 47c | 30.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Celtics | 54c | 28.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Nets | 46c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.