TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over48c42,830$20,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,383.4421057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c18,074$9,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,036.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c16,365$8,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,473.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under53c10,024$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,312.4839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over50c6,767$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under50c6,090$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00025753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Over50c5,980$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9901675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+96.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Under51c5,863$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c5,437$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.762,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e2…8863backed Under51c3,030$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over33c2,870$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.6883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c2,642$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.233,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c2,595$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.292,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c2,310$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.612,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c2,061$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05124450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,938$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c1,928$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.142,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c1,843$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c1,609$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.571,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c1,574$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.692,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c1,399$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c1,176$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.931,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under53c1,094$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under50c976.77$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under54c868$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c801.29$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.9$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under76c658.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c612.84$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c549.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c480.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.491,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over48c400.33$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.175742.1%24 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.75547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c336.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under47c318.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under75c295.32$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0724846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under53c287.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x203f…727ebacked Over35c255.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under51c254.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0512645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c221.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4619350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aba…5aeebacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under77c183.09$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6927144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Over50c174.06$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.152,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under52c139.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c113.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed Over47c105.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c104.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under49c101.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0415936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…777bbacked Under51c93.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under51c84.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3711637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7516549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under53c68.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3820741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Over47c65.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.833148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c61.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.621,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Over47c59.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.781968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8220847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe0…17cbbacked Under51c46.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under52c45.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7810953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9798…abc3backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c39.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa548…c54abacked Under51c37.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c37.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.543,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Over49c36.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8616749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Under51c36.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3721243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…cd6ebacked Under51c33.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.071764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over48c30.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67251.4%37 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ea…d81abacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c26.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4927943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c25.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under51c25.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over46c25.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.928852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over47c22.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over49c21.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6819232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under53c19.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1632952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.