TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0ea…d81a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.77
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.1%+$18.72
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.8%+$32.26
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.18
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.73
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+162.7%+$44.07
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+357.1%+$61.47
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$36.11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+439.9%+$219.76
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+595.3%+$325.75
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+136%+$26.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.66
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.43
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.68
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.24
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.13
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+107.4%+$13.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+84.8%+$21.34
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+203%+$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+98%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.6%+$9.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.2%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+36.3%+$6.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.