Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515e5db65f707d122e08b6ffff09b302713f27f4aa235662d4eb4d17766c6ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Irvine Anteaters, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 79c | 3,434$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 61c | 3,007$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Jose State Spartans | 24c | 1,670$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 43c | 1,191$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 760.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 633.45$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 42c | 544.24$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Jose State Spartans | 39c | 408.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 288.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed San Jose State Spartans | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 58c | 234.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 228.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed San Jose State Spartans | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 173.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 141.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked San Jose State Spartans | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 40c | 119.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 104.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 85.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…656cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 39.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…d81abacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 63c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartansthis page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.