TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9226…656c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$28
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$97.65
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+305.2%+$48.83
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+937.7%+$138.06
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+440.5%+$66.07
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.05
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.32
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.46
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+512.7%+$76.91
San Francisco Dons vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Marist Red Foxes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.76
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.91
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.7%+$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.