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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgia Southern Eaglesof James Madison Dukes, Georgia Southern Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a7…d3abbacked James Madison Dukes50c1,233$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked James Madison Dukes42c1,158$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.231,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9912435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles50c887.37$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked James Madison Dukes42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29429444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles57c649.12$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgia Southern Eagles66c615.86$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.741,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles59c506.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked James Madison Dukes10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.193511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Southern Eagles48c382.12$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.341,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked James Madison Dukes44c368.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.472,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia Southern Eagles45c337.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.062,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed James Madison Dukes51c301.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed James Madison Dukes53c283.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed James Madison Dukes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Georgia Southern Eagles56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Georgia Southern Eagles52c193.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked James Madison Dukes44c188.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed James Madison Dukes55c186$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked James Madison Dukes54c186$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.071,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c174$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.827245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles56c167.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.941,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed James Madison Dukes69c153.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.223256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c151$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.932,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Southern Eagles46c150.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9226…656cbacked James Madison Dukes37c136.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed James Madison Dukes12c119.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c104$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.725147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed James Madison Dukes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed James Madison Dukes27c89.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed James Madison Dukes75c68.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed James Madison Dukes62c64.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3515442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.526750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Georgia Southern Eagles57c63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.097243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.237335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked James Madison Dukes55c60.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.451,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles57c57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Georgia Southern Eagles71c56.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.29871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Madison Dukes51c52.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked James Madison Dukes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…c184backed Georgia Southern Eagles29c49.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed James Madison Dukes42c48.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern Eagles52c46.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.383,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Georgia Southern Eagles57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.356350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed James Madison Dukes57c40.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed James Madison Dukes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed James Madison Dukes43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.773372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked James Madison Dukes43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.343161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked James Madison Dukes73c36.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.983577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked James Madison Dukes43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.482568%17 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked James Madison Dukes36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed James Madison Dukes43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked James Madison Dukes43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked James Madison Dukes43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043231.3%10 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Georgia Southern Eagles44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked James Madison Dukes43c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Georgia Southern Eagles57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.614748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked James Madison Dukes43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed James Madison Dukes43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed James Madison Dukes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.753647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked James Madison Dukes76c16.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1717546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.