Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4ddfadc964c96a6f5450305643ffbc22526c320ce345374fb8f2781baffd0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southern Eaglesof Georgia Southern Eagles, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 331.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed James Madison Dukes | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed James Madison Dukes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked James Madison Dukes | 50c | 141$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked James Madison Dukes | 52c | 121.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked James Madison Dukes | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed James Madison Dukes | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed James Madison Dukes | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed James Madison Dukes | 48c | 59.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked James Madison Dukes | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed James Madison Dukes | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed James Madison Dukes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-2.5)this page
- James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern Eagles won
- James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles: O/U 156.5Over won
- James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.