Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67dd8e5963138ff187e851a56d9fd0b20e4b0faced0619a10c7c4c374fd06223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Bowling Green Falcons, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 3c | 3,299$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 3,223$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan Broncos | 21c | 2,587$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan Broncos | 4c | 2,227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 1,973$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 1,658$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.54 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 3c | 1,483$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 1,300$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 19c | 1,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 1,028$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 796.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 647$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Western Michigan Broncos | 26c | 641$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 543.83$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan Broncos | 11c | 478.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan Broncos | 21c | 348.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 9c | 338.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 291$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 278.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bowling Green Falcons | 78c | 266.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan Broncos | 24c | 225.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 220.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 23c | 215.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 5c | 209.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Western Michigan Broncos | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 176.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Western Michigan Broncos | 7c | 171.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Western Michigan Broncos | 23c | 147.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…656cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 110.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 99.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 97.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 61.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 51.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 51.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 45.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…e32bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 33.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 22.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…99f6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 72c | 14.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncosthis page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5Under won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-6.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-7.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.