TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d89…3e65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST6946.4%32 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Kings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST6524.6%16 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Creighton Bluejays vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.93
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$68
CSUN Matadors vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+325.5%+$153
Wichita State Shockers vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Michigan Wolverines vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Temple Owls vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+356.2%+$156.16
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$63
Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+73.2%+$42.26
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,370.6%+$1,864
Big Game: Octopus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$363
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Packers vs. Giants: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST5133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Kansas vs. Iowa Statebacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Utah vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
North Carolina vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Spread: UConn (-7.5)backed Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
South Florida vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+334.8%+$77
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Florida Gators vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Texas State vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.1
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridabacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tennessee vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST4045%18 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$50
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$45
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$37
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublikbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.