Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8b0d589dbef85706b8761976296114282e3f7d3d4127a46ce6a49d6003bc1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof CSUN Matadors, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 3,331$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CSUN Matadors | 29c | 2,129$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.51 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CSUN Matadors | 31c | 1,570$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 1,326$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.94 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked CSUN Matadors | 35c | 1,205$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.77 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked CSUN Matadors | 23c | 1,030$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.56 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 840.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 826.15$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.88 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 799$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked CSUN Matadors | 25c | 699.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.13 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 658.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 616.41$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed CSUN Matadors | 24c | 572.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.04 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSUN Matadors | 39c | 473.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed CSUN Matadors | 54c | 369.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 34c | 332.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 313.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 12c | 254.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 38c | 236.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed CSUN Matadors | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed CSUN Matadors | 68c | 189.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked CSUN Matadors | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6279…39ddbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 79c | 130$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 124.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California-San Diego Tritons | 78c | 109$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed California-San Diego Tritons | 40c | 83.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 78.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed CSUN Matadors | 23c | 77.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CSUN Matadors | 50c | 44.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed CSUN Matadors | 37c | 43.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked CSUN Matadors | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed California-San Diego Tritons | 80c | 22.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- CSUN Matadors vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.