Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe937d7bfa0557687ca4b86dcb3e270f356909a09ab524e893e7c57568aba21b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof Cal Poly Mustangs, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 13,673$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed CSUN Matadors | 42c | 6,601$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.78 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors | 46c | 5,314$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 4,900$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.69 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed CSUN Matadors | 39c | 4,145$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.06 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 2,002$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 1,670$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked CSUN Matadors | 36c | 1,440$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 28c | 841.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 769.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 35c | 402.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 62c | 394.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 6c | 324.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 28c | 292.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…d885backed CSUN Matadors | 73c | 276.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed CSUN Matadors | 38c | 254.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 251.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 73c | 248.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…f62ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 225.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed CSUN Matadors | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 71c | 184.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 23c | 174.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…abcbbacked CSUN Matadors | 40c | 174$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked CSUN Matadors | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 137.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed CSUN Matadors | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 104.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSUN Matadors | 60c | 93.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed CSUN Matadors | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed CSUN Matadors | 15c | 78.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 66c | 74.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 58c | 72.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked CSUN Matadors | 53c | 69.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 32c | 63.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 60c | 57.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 55.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…ac7dbacked CSUN Matadors | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed CSUN Matadors | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 47.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 41.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked CSUN Matadors | 67c | 37.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 31c | 36.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked CSUN Matadors | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed CSUN Matadors | 78c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed CSUN Matadors | 49c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadorsthis page
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 173.5Over won
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: CSUN Matadors (-6.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.