NHL · resolved market

Capitals vs. Kraken

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c3fa60b771a96ff8faec368dbb37a90504e61c7af7e8e31a54be8709909644

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Krakenof Capitals, Kraken
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $914,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $955,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,430 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken	46c	307,902$141,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166,352.71	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Capitals	54c	276,368$149,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,238.67	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb28…3750backed Capitals	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e54…ba7fbacked Capitals	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Capitals	57c	48,383$27,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,428.05	166	56.6%94 W · 72 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Capitals	54c	35,208$19,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,012.4	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken	47c	34,690$16,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,234.39	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Capitals	55c	18,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kraken	45c	15,579$7,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,568.41	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Capitals	4c	11,674$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.98	422	54.3%229 W · 193 L	+18.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Kraken	44c	11,000$4,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,160	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf69…9076backed Kraken	46c	10,554$4,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,648.94	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals	54c	8,597$4,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,608.44	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…1aadbacked Kraken	46c	8,502$3,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,590.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Kraken	50c	8,015$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,014.7	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Capitals	5c	7,633$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.66	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kraken	50c	7,629$3,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,819.74	151	45%68 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Capitals	55c	7,395$4,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,070	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Kraken	43c	7,227$3,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,119.39	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009a…339ebacked Capitals	54c	7,030$3,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,796.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Capitals	54c	7,002$3,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,781	215	49.3%106 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Capitals	54c	6,986$3,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,792.41	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken	44c	6,500$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Capitals	4c	6,404$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.18	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals	9c	5,604$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.88	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken	71c	5,172$3,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.53	571	57.8%330 W · 241 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kraken	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.99	895	47%421 W · 474 L	-18.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kraken	46c	4,850$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,619	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals	3c	4,703$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.58	544	18%98 W · 446 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals	56c	4,356$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,434.3	540	47.6%257 W · 283 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals	4c	4,140$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.6	185	20.5%38 W · 147 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kraken	46c	3,957$1,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,136.78	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals	53c	3,835$2,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.77	561	52%292 W · 269 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Capitals	9c	3,771$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.26	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals	16c	3,382$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.91	996	38.2%380 W · 616 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Capitals	25c	3,243$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.67	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals	55c	3,222$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,772.17	254	47.2%120 W · 134 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals	55c	3,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals	54c	2,962$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.48	520	50%260 W · 260 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Capitals	55c	2,924$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Capitals	55c	2,824$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Capitals	31c	2,784$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.27	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals	54c	2,706$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.24	1,024	48.4%496 W · 528 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Capitals	55c	2,519$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.38	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Capitals	53c	2,481$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.95	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Capitals	54c	2,432$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.34	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Capitals	55c	2,401$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.09	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken	46c	2,391$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.3	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Kraken	46c	2,380$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.2	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Kraken	43c	2,275$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.6	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kraken	46c	2,222$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.86	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kraken	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	281	52%146 W · 135 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Capitals	6c	2,070$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.26	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Kraken	48c	2,032$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.73	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals	5c	2,011$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.79	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kraken	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.99	333	45.6%152 W · 181 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Capitals	54c	1,985$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.7	459	55.1%253 W · 206 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62a1…bbecbacked Capitals	52c	1,924$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Capitals	32c	1,909$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.39	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken	66c	1,821$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.4	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals	55c	1,747$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.5	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Capitals	14c	1,623$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.02	266	57.1%152 W · 114 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Kraken	70c	1,621$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.13	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+9.3wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kraken	47c	1,609$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.16	358	29.3%105 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Kraken	47c	1,596$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.74	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken	44c	1,544$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.57	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Kraken	43c	1,540$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.53	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7070…4327backed Capitals	54c	1,512$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Kraken	48c	1,500$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.92	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken	43c	1,500$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855	632	49.5%313 W · 319 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals	55c	1,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Capitals	54c	1,458$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.33	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Capitals	54c	1,372$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.39	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Capitals	54c	1,296$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals	24c	1,273$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.34	387	38%147 W · 240 L	-13.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken	45c	1,272$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.21	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken	46c	1,272$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.67	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Capitals	55c	1,222$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.01	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Capitals	55c	1,216$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.76	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd2…4c71backed Kraken	43c	1,186$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Kraken	42c	1,174$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.7	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Capitals	4c	1,162$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals	55c	1,155$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.03	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Capitals	1c	1,111$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	745	0.7%5 W · 740 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken	44c	1,110$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.58	892	49.9%445 W · 447 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aeb…0c44backed Kraken	46c	1,080$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.2	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	53cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Kraken	47c	1,064$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.83	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Capitals	53c	1,063$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.38	428	47.2%202 W · 226 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Kraken	43c	1,044$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.35	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb6…6d93backed Kraken	46c	1,020$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.8	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Kraken	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Kraken	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Kraken	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Capitals	16c	939$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.91	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Capitals	55c	929.62$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.29	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Capitals	14c	924.66$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	174	42.5%74 W · 100 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals	53c	901.61$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.85	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kraken	46c	886.96$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.96	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Capitals vs. Krakenthis page
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Kraken won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Capitals vs. Kraken

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event