NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fff8943aac03e60c06298962a4b31858b558d666c9fe04022ee33e87397cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,499.8 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 45c | 42,998$19,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,394.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 20,536$9,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,241.21 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 4,080$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 2,971$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 45c | 2,240$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.86 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 2,156$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.01 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 45c | 1,480$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,316$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 62c | 1,290$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 57c | 1,245$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 899.85$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 852.58$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 808.14$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.78 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 55c | 805.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 38c | 563.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 45c | 526.87$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 45c | 522.3$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…01d9backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 469$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 68c | 400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 60c | 360.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 45c | 287.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9c0abacked Over | 40c | 251.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…4e01backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 63c | 203$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 196.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 55c | 163.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 56c | 148.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…bc9ebacked Under | 45c | 139.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…4689backed Over | 56c | 133.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Under | 45c | 132.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…d102backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 46c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 109.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…33adbacked Over | 56c | 105.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 46c | 103.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 102.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 45c | 102.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f9…60a9backed Under | 45c | 100.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 90.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 45c | 79.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 54c | 78.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Under | 65c | 64.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Under | 46c | 60.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…94b6backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 54c | 58.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed Under | 45c | 54.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Under | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Under | 46c | 49.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Under | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…1ea2backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed Under | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 56c | 37.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 45c | 37.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 80c | 34.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Over | 56c | 33.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Under | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…443ebacked Under | 46c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…5ec9backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Over | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 45c | 27.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 54c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 45c | 24.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Capitals vs. KrakenKraken won
- Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.