TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb06e…1ea2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick39cpaid-89.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$15.72
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.73
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.64
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+45.8%+$20.85
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.27
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.26
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$45.68
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+216.6%+$22.68
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.72
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$19.97
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.