College Football · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648e53a036c4f968a6a5d5055d3b7e597ed308feafc056deee009e3b2838eb72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $860,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $860,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Arizona State | 28c | 226,449$64,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,119.33 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 71c | 185,643$131,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,806.53 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 120,000$86,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,550 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 88,086$37,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,782.07 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 57,041$41,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,640.15 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 42,129$21,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,688.9 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 31,083$22,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,386.74 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Arizona State | 29c | 29,718$8,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,099.78 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Arizona State | 29c | 27,554$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,563.34 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 59c | 27,329$16,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,149.74 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Arizona State | 28c | 20,170$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,522.34 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 50c | 18,332$9,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.32 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arizona State | 62c | 17,286$10,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.16 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Arizona State | 27c | 15,562$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,360.26 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Arizona State | 27c | 13,597$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.68 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Arizona State | 29c | 13,560$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,627.6 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona State | 29c | 12,200$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Arizona State | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Arizona State | 75c | 9,374$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arizona State | 29c | 7,883$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.93 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 38c | 7,042$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 6,930$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.81 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona State | 37c | 6,800$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.99 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arizona State | 41c | 6,589$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.41 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Arizona State | 29c | 6,408$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 6,002$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.56 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 34c | 5,848$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.71 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State | 74c | 4,986$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.53 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 3,858$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.09 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…16d3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 10c | 2,976$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 2,806$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.73 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arizona State | 57c | 2,798$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.67 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona State | 62c | 2,412$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.08 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arizona State | 28c | 2,148$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.72 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arizona State | 72c | 1,977$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.69 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 55c | 1,908$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.23 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arizona State | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Arizona State | 27c | 1,336$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.28 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…825cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 1,299$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 1,153$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.67 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Arizona State | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 33c | 969.13$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 63c | 948.8$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arizona State | 28c | 700$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Arizona State | 41c | 675.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…0f2dbacked Arizona State | 30c | 587.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 69c | 566$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Arizona State | 28c | 550$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 532$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.68 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Arizona State | 28c | 522.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Arizona State | 28c | 515.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 75c | 494.89$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 476.88$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 457.3$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.11 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 438.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…78fbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 416.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 11c | 413$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Arizona State | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Arizona State | 47c | 385.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Arizona State | 42c | 382.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Arizona State | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…f8b2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 74c | 351.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 319.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 6c | 312$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State | 39c | 272.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Arizona State | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Arizona State | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Arizona State | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 238.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 20c | 229.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…cb74backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 7c | 228.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Arizona State | 32c | 225$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Arizona State | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arizona State | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Arizona State | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Arizona State | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 194.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona State | 28c | 179.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 176.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…ef9fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 76c | 165$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Arizona State | 33c | 158$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Arizona State | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Arizona State | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Arizona State | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 126$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…ae92backed Arizona State | 29c | 124.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 11c | 120.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statethis page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)Arizona State won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Arizona State won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)Arizona State won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State: O/U 50.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State: O/U 51.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.