MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e54660d2271cde9a2cca5173eb1971ff590c3b569fd181ae420ee9ab46e4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 29,349$11,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 27,308$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,974.03 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 23,854$10,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,973.05 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 15,765$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 14,400$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 14,012$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 11,345$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.84 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 11,138$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.84 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 8,794$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.67 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 8,333$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.65 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 7,299$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.81 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 6,468$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.54 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,936$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.23 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 5,753$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 5,352$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 5,137$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.75 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…f90cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,986$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 4,578$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.24 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 4,546$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.16 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,043$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.65 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.24 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,927$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,703$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 2,467$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,431$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.4 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…40e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,255$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,234$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.45 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,087$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,030$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 1,538$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,425$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.46 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,296$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.49 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 1,257$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,215$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,194$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.28 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 1,188$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,180$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.06 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,137$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…bad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 999.35$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 981.86$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 928$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 921.79$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 802.6$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.14 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 711.28$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 649$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 589.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 577.77$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 568.77$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.77 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 518.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 512$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 509$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 506.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 504.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 458.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 435.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 429.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 408.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 388.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 386$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 362$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 345.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 342.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 332.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 331.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.38 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 325$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 320$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 318.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 305.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 296.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 284.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 277$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 273.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 270.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 255.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 244.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 240.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 239.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 235.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.