MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63be7ad75a3acef99c4b2cc00709f2b2436c507545ad82dc8fad05bfc3f61286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 95,000$49,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,599.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 48c | 41,119$19,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,736.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 48c | 20,700$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 10,947$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 10,469$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 9,602$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 7,150$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.97 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 6,773$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 6,188$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.24 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 48c | 6,041$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.61 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,456$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 49c | 3,964$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 1,932$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.46 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 49c | 1,713$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.37 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 20c | 1,557$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,289$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.68 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 42c | 715.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 595$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 563.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 505$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…28c2backed Over | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Under | 53c | 484.91$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 64c | 450.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 406.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 49c | 397.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 71c | 374.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 322.32$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 318$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 318$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 16c | 304.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 51c | 299$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 281.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 279.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 44c | 276.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 253.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 212$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 198.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 50c | 188.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over | 47c | 184.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 183.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 165.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 45c | 155$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 70c | 153.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 53c | 150.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 48c | 133.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 126.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 124.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 28c | 110.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 47c | 82.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 49c | 82.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 78.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 53c | 64.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 53c | 62.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Over | 49c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Over | 58c | 41.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Over | 58c | 41.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Over | 47c | 37.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Over | 58c | 37.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…8b4bbacked Under | 64c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 54c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 70c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 59c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.