TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,287,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,411,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,287,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed 76ers37c803,178$295,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507,202.315540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Celtics63c401,242$252,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,748.6115443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff6…a199backed 76ers31c128,867$40,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,828.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…0d06backed Celtics65c111,957$72,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,621.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics34c100,521$34,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,572.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed 76ers47c82,978$38,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,009.166654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Celtics62c68,325$42,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,670.9971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers38c54,862$20,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,096.6385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Celtics63c54,317$34,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,219.421872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics69c52,286$36,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,256.541,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed 76ers43c49,790$21,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,380.314856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics53c43,013$22,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,797.111,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics63c40,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,20059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed 76ers36c35,468$12,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,781.75942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed 76ers35c30,054$10,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,535.367255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers36c27,800$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,7921,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics64c27,346$17,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,549.269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06d…dd3ebacked Celtics64c27,225$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,50030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed 76ers36c25,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked 76ers44c25,000$11,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,949.954766%31 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Celtics67c19,350$13,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,016.547144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Celtics55c19,090$10,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,586.1792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers35c18,657$6,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,113.6735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Celtics56c18,088$10,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,087.119249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Celtics62c16,479$10,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,298.6736148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Celtics60c16,167$9,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,625.4430053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked 76ers35c15,500$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,074.997939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Celtics68c13,334$9,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,060.2947448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Celtics65c13,326$8,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,635.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics48c12,977$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.142,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics61c11,671$7,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,116.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Celtics45c11,081$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Celtics63c10,445$6,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,580.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics60c9,997$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.7881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd87…0333backed Celtics55c8,850$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fa…da8dbacked 76ers45c8,800$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8404100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ad…61f2backed Celtics55c8,750$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4f8…688fbacked 76ers45c8,700$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7854100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Celtics65c8,595$5,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.518843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Celtics1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers35c7,855$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.4220253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Celtics64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…d8c7backed 76ers45c6,900$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0904…4a6ebacked Celtics55c6,800$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked 76ers32c6,555$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.7541848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd385…4e15backed 76ers45c6,444$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Celtics74c6,260$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.613053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed1…ba30backed Celtics56c6,250$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked 76ers36c5,980$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Celtics62c5,640$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.5512160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe96c…3ff5backed 76ers45c5,301$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd10…7d22backed Celtics55c5,301$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Celtics62c4,760$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Celtics62c4,600$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed 76ers38c4,564$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.743630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 76ers52c4,283$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.3285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked 76ers42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Celtics66c3,999$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.5138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics59c3,869$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.5444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Celtics64c3,547$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.0548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Celtics62c3,535$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1907142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked 76ers37c3,532$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.696155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed 76ers40c3,500$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.485655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Celtics58c3,319$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.4612941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers37c3,248$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed 76ers30c3,091$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.094327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics55c3,000$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.931,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Celtics63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8907342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Celtics62c3,000$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.997132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics58c2,975$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.911,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Celtics5c2,883$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7739018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Celtics66c2,875$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics68c2,760$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics60c2,727$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked 76ers37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.710852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics61c2,670$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Celtics66c2,574$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.618036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics53c2,280$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.1977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers36c2,098$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Celtics62c2,000$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.9275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Celtics49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Celtics58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked 76ers39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2203542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Celtics64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2806636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked 76ers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed 76ers40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed 76ers38c1,949$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.785149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed 76ers52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.086440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers44c1,870$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed 76ers27c1,807$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.1829037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed 76ers38c1,785$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.957149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked 76ers37c1,766$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.579849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed 76ers36c1,715$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.8535438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics61c1,696$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.142,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed 76ers36c1,654$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.388246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed 76ers35c1,536$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.2542241%173 W · 249 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers44c1,500$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Celtics53c1,500$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed 76ers37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9623644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.