TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe153…e415backed Under51c35,000$17,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,8501560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Over49c21,127$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,774.771266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Under50c8,609$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.678843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c5,791$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a6…7538backed Over49c5,200$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f59…1176backed Over49c3,656$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.561464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c3,528$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.562,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d0…fa41backed Over49c2,515$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over50c2,432$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21841848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…bd51backed Over49c1,975$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x334a…db04backed Under51c1,957$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.0750%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa7…08f7backed Over49c1,921$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed Over49c1,904$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.04825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf53f…174bbacked Under51c1,872$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa216…179bbacked Over49c1,824$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.344949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3e…8fe8backed Under51c1,785$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c1,733$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.672,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Over49c1,682$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…3bedbacked Under51c1,663$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.131060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c5…2316backed Over49c1,663$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe43d…a201backed Over49c1,662$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Over49c1,606$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b55…3141backed Over49c1,552$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Under51c1,548$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.481050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Under51c1,536$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Over49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.81875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under52c1,509$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9241742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4731…4e09backed Under51c1,488$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7d…7765backed Over49c1,478$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked Over49c1,458$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81c0…517ebacked Over49c1,456$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under53c1,420$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.52,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc534…428abacked Over49c1,407$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…8c39backed Under51c1,361$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.111020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ecf…06f9backed Over49c1,337$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x45dc…92afbacked Over49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1922…3f90backed Under51c1,270$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb32…3c6cbacked Under51c1,228$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x28d3…a6c6backed Under51c1,223$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7360%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c45…92adbacked Under51c1,214$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf168…35fcbacked Over49c1,202$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8329…e118backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda8…bf52backed Under51c1,182$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.8270%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61c4…d114backed Over49c1,166$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…ced6backed Under51c1,158$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x678c…c278backed Over49c1,158$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4c…94ecbacked Under51c1,157$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcb…1941backed Under51c1,114$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7016…9c7ebacked Over49c1,099$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecb…3b01backed Under51c1,079$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.291040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08bf…574ebacked Under51c1,074$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0c…af73backed Under51c1,053$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408d…2bccbacked Over49c1,043$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.819448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea11…551abacked Over49c1,039$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ed…7a01backed Under51c1,039$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.011384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5cf7…3ff1backed Over49c1,011$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c1…6c36backed Over49c1,005$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7425…c079backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4874…7123backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc030…7372backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…da56backed Over49c992$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+81.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x807b…ea2fbacked Over49c987$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.37875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x868a…add6backed Under51c972$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b6…f481backed Over49c970$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Over49c969$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe859…61cebacked Under51c969$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Over49c964$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x291f…6cf3backed Under51c962$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd50…9109backed Under51c961$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc926…effabacked Over49c957$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…10d5backed Over49c951$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173b…baf5backed Under51c950$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf458…c988backed Under51c945$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.95825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf34…d146backed Over49c945$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…9b0ebacked Over49c939$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf869…6d20backed Over49c938$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5671…6e56backed Over49c932$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+76.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Over49c932$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7331…2923backed Under51c886$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe509…96adbacked Under51c879$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…5b77backed Over49c878$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…a49fbacked Over49c876$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cad…48fdbacked Over49c876$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Under51c875$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…0b72backed Under51c864$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ff5…40a2backed Under51c851$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe51…cfc7backed Under51c839$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x402d…2a64backed Under51c834$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc744…c412backed Under51c833$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf171…20c7backed Under51c824$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x455e…ecacbacked Over49c823$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7878…d30bbacked Over49c821$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.