TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Over54c75,674$40,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,810.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f59…1176backed Under46c53,381$24,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,555.261464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a6…7538backed Under46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d3…3912backed Under46c2,525$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Under46c2,036$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x334a…db04backed Under46c1,935$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.150%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a78…bd69backed Under46c1,876$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…2e48backed Over54c1,866$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20bf…8c39backed Under46c1,861$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.061020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c33…8279backed Under46c1,839$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4d…aea0backed Under46c1,819$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.74850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb32…3c6cbacked Under46c1,773$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81b…a52bbacked Over54c1,697$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3049…d596backed Under46c1,670$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…9ea5backed Over54c1,669$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Over54c1,666$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec53…e599backed Under46c1,631$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dc…92afbacked Under46c1,606$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf53f…174bbacked Under46c1,580$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c1,525$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.752,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Under46c1,499$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ed8…42e1backed Over54c1,461$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Under46c1,424$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…a493backed Under46c1,407$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked Under46c1,399$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Over54c1,387$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Over54c1,384$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…3bedbacked Over54c1,374$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0e…ce49backed Under46c1,371$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x015e…3954backed Over54c1,364$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…fa60backed Over54c1,361$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d60…14b3backed Over54c1,359$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x296b…7a1fbacked Under46c1,347$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f28…ce03backed Under46c1,338$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Over54c1,326$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc43…938ebacked Under46c1,324$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe43d…a201backed Under46c1,316$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb14…b95ebacked Under46c1,269$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d0…fa41backed Over54c1,247$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Over54c1,218$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Over54c1,148$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…ea16backed Under46c1,141$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5057…531abacked Under46c1,135$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.1825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa7…08f7backed Over54c1,126$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x455e…ecacbacked Under46c1,117$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a34…b717backed Over54c1,080$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d6c1backed Over54c1,071$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…75e9backed Over54c1,071$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.66875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7878…d30bbacked Over54c1,055$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…a4bdbacked Under46c1,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fd…1409backed Over54c1,027$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c1,016$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678c…c278backed Under46c1,010$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b18…afacbacked Over54c1,007$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b2…318cbacked Over54c1,004$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe509…96adbacked Under46c977$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c7…8299backed Under46c977$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…0b72backed Under46c968$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c91…a39abacked Over54c951$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x291f…6cf3backed Over54c943$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113a…1251backed Under46c942$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.321127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Under46c927$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…4e09backed Under46c918$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c7…472fbacked Over54c909$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed Over54c904$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b37…4e5abacked Under46c891$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.861145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…63adbacked Over54c891$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…bd51backed Under46c880$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa9…f37ebacked Under46c876$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ed…a272backed Over54c861$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…48a9backed Over54c847$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.62825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc926…effabacked Under46c840$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…da56backed Over54c834$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+81.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x533c…9086backed Under46c833$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf3d6…10d5backed Under46c829$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe51…cfc7backed Over54c829$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e7…0e78backed Over54c827$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8329…e118backed Over54c816$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70aa…15f8backed Over54c812$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Over54c811$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.061040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Over54c796$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…42e1backed Under46c795$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf458…c988backed Under46c794$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503b…4f98backed Over54c794$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ecf…06f9backed Over54c793$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ffc…f402backed Under46c793$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca81…91c7backed Over54c791$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Under46c791$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.861118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47b5…b3b2backed Over54c768$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992c…3ae9backed Under46c767$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3973…e14cbacked Over54c761$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c4…530dbacked Over54c754$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…a385backed Under46c754$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.841040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c71…6351backed Over54c708$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.681250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcb…b4babacked Under46c708$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Over54c705$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x868a…add6backed Under46c704$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe608…749cbacked Over54c695$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f1…ef5dbacked Over54c684$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.64850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5f…303abacked Under46c682$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.72812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.