TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bff…331c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+59%+$39.05
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$880
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.96
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.99
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$790
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.98
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.99
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+197%+$1,990
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.15
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$80.98
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.58
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$19.88
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$16.25
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$28.75
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+188.3%+$32.66
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.32
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,109.94
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,500
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,089.99
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+383.9%+$14,279.99
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$539.97
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$171.12
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.99
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,620
Browns vs. Lionsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$2,220
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$288
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$294
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$408
49ers vs. Saintsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$700
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.49
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$90
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$217.91
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.13
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$55.09
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.35
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$52
Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+55%+$19.52
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+110.4%+$1,326.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,842.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.