TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff48…b0ecbacked No49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,399.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Yes51c22,136$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,289.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No53c11,335$6,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,327.584153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes51c9,989$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.2617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…5986backed Yes47c7,448$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No78c6,176$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.025451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c4,902$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.796,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes30c4,805$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.411127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes51c3,177$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No53c2,581$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.255054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes50c1,936$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.275944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No55c1,323$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.185056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes45c1,274$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.320039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c1,213$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No48c999.92$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.965160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes17c861.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No76c728.5$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.867248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes47c723.4$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes14c600$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c598.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No48c520.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes11c500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No48c492.28$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.982540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes49c489.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b4…c16ebacked Yes47c486.57$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x63fd…4bbdbacked Yes47c484.4$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c482.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked No52c453.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes51c407.19$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.416860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No48c330.77$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes51c327.25$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.910357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No55c323.11$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.47963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No51c273$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes48c219.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.573850%19 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No49c204.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3134643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No53c179.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7924044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes50c178.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…0442backed Yes47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…b00bbacked Yes48c167.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes49c162.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No80c150.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e17…2b55backed Yes19c141.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a0…00a6backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No50c101.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2326054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes49c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c94.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes18c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d9…eec0backed Yes52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f84…f1c4backed No48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes49c70.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.553348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2221153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4976backed Yes51c67.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.531435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.725259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes50c60.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.34228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes49c51.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50af…f977backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae20…245abacked No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247839.7%31 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…229fbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…4b04backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe34e…bc0dbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes49c36.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…25bdbacked No49c34.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes48c30.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34ae…ec96backed Yes49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d77…31cabacked Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2725545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x70f2…7532backed Yes46c26.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.744165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13eb…6e72backed Yes47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.