TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34ae…ec96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,205.82
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$475.16
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$339.98
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$196.19
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$171.25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$179.07
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$73.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$200.9
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.8
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$154.56
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$572.85
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.59
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$162.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.99
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.82
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.96
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.72
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.4
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$18.97
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.18
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$32.49
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$9.66
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9.72
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.98
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.14
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.85
Sam Houston vs. Hawai'ibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.