MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x397ec6373769be780ca13fa1f4d808b17f750a433edf6bc1230f90f83a500626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof White Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Orioles | 59c | 18,419$10,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed White Sox | 40c | 8,378$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.21 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 20c | 3,800$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked White Sox | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 44c | 1,976$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.44 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox | 41c | 1,152$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 56c | 1,028$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 56c | 976$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked White Sox | 48c | 947.46$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.2 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Orioles | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked White Sox | 44c | 893$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed White Sox | 23c | 871.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 55c | 799.97$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 40c | 774.58$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 59c | 762.07$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 75c | 684.19$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Orioles | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed White Sox | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 5c | 599.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed White Sox | 4c | 504.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 59c | 499.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 78c | 490.44$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Orioles | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 57c | 340.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked White Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed White Sox | 12c | 291.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed White Sox | 43c | 266.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed White Sox | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 61c | 247.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed White Sox | 43c | 234.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 22c | 209.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Orioles | 57c | 195.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 7c | 150.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed White Sox | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed White Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Orioles | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Orioles | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Orioles | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked White Sox | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked White Sox | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked White Sox | 20c | 86.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 42c | 84.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed White Sox | 34c | 82.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Orioles | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Orioles | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…8de9backed Orioles | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 60c | 70.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 73c | 69.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed White Sox | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked White Sox | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Orioles | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 40c | 60.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 38c | 54.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked White Sox | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Orioles | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Orioles | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked White Sox | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Orioles | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Orioles | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a58…b3d3backed White Sox | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed White Sox | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 37c | 27.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…07f0backed Orioles | 61c | 27.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 39c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed White Sox | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Orioles | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…4305backed Orioles | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…ec96backed Orioles | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…ce55backed Orioles | 79c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.