NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ba61cfb416cf46148ec09d7ad09b67a758c3fbeb4322acd23699b11db00af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Kings | 0c | 221,241$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 75c | 52,748$39,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,534.5 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 37c | 38,097$14,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,994.06 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 26c | 29,858$7,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,146.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flames | 43c | 13,327$5,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.5 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flames | 39c | 12,766$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.06 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kings | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 25c | 11,385$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Flames | 42c | 10,609$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.13 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 58c | 10,347$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.26 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 39c | 10,225$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.14 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 60c | 10,000$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.86 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Flames | 46c | 10,000$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Kings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 67c | 9,416$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Kings | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…fdc8backed Kings | 62c | 7,567$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…9669backed Flames | 38c | 7,559$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flames | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 60c | 6,159$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 61c | 5,456$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 36c | 5,299$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.84 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 37c | 4,995$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.77 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flames | 31c | 3,544$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.62 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 38c | 3,344$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.19 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 61c | 3,333$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.13 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Flames | 39c | 3,320$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.84 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 62c | 3,236$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Flames | 61c | 3,116$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.01 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 61c | 3,097$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.87 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Kings | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 40c | 2,726$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 60c | 2,506$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.74 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Kings | 60c | 2,501$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.52 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Flames | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Flames | 31c | 2,330$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.42 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…cb61backed Kings | 58c | 2,323$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Flames | 39c | 2,250$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Kings | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Kings | 65c | 2,080$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 40c | 1,994$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.18 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Kings | 63c | 1,833$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 38c | 1,755$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Flames | 39c | 1,750$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Flames | 12c | 1,704$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.47 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 37c | 1,663$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Kings | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 39c | 1,625$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.45 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 63c | 1,619$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…87d7backed Flames | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flames | 40c | 1,589$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.6 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…ec9abacked Kings | 60c | 1,570$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 61c | 1,557$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Flames | 38c | 1,549$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.62 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Kings | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Flames | 65c | 1,450$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Flames | 46c | 1,421$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.91 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Kings | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 38c | 1,386$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.29 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Flames | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Flames | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Kings | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flames | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.04 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Kings | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flames | 39c | 1,032$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.52 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 37c | 1,027$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.43 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…88e0backed Kings | 61c | 1,020$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Kings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kings | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flames | 39c | 986.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kings | 29c | 921.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Flames | 35c | 917.95$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 39c | 883.77$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.1 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Kings | 57c | 876.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flames | 39c | 871.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.74 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 61c | 862$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Flames | 48c | 841.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Kings | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Kings | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flames | 30c | 792$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.52 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flames | 33c | 787.53$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.53 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Kings | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…12e9backed Kings | 62c | 725$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 62c | 689$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.09 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Flames | 40c | 688.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Kings | 58c | 641.1$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Flames | 44c | 640.52$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.96 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings | 60c | 635.77$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…bb06backed Kings | 61c | 630$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Flames | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flames | 37c | 616$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 40c | 608.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Flames | 38c | 604.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.09 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Kingsthis page
- Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.