Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c36efd820875f3f4706ed80e12100e62f4e90dafe57749c211b66d6773bf8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,002,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 61c | 285,973$174,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,909.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 40c | 200,000$79,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,917.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 39c | 160,771$62,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,383.46 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 67,514$41,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,818.72 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Yes | 65c | 46,280$30,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,135.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 63c | 30,089$18,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,272.04 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 24,373$8,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,526.23 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 39c | 16,765$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.75 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 35c | 14,951$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 64c | 14,198$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.69 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 13,739$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.44 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 62c | 13,431$8,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 65c | 12,910$8,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.04 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 59c | 12,374$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 79c | 11,898$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.64 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 62c | 11,000$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.98 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 10,162$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.77 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 60c | 10,153$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.12 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 36c | 10,100$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 40c | 8,255$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.81 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 65c | 8,100$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 37c | 6,207$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.25 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 6,162$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.44 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 71c | 5,520$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 21c | 5,295$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.81 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 78c | 5,190$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.29 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.94 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6389…80babacked No | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…47c3backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…3fd2backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 18c | 3,854$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 39c | 3,668$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.41 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 38c | 3,603$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 63c | 3,595$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.12 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 60c | 3,583$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.24 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…177abacked Yes | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…5fc8backed No | 41c | 3,200$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 64c | 3,194$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.71 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 64c | 3,177$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Yes | 64c | 3,078$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 67c | 2,950$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.68 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 64c | 2,817$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.08 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Yes | 61c | 2,723$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 2,705$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.45 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 34c | 2,700$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.25 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 39c | 2,692$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.87 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 65c | 2,679$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.89 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,622$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.33 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 61c | 2,606$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…ae9fbacked No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…f248backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,418$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.06 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 62c | 2,352$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 62c | 2,242$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,191$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.9 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 33c | 2,160$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 69c | 2,104$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.56 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 33c | 2,074$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 61c | 2,014$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 63c | 1,950$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 37c | 1,918$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.23 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 36c | 1,918$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.53 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Yes | 61c | 1,873$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 25c | 1,860$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed No | 41c | 1,833$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 1,793$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 63c | 1,586$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.79 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 35c | 1,492$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.26 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 35c | 1,446$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 38c | 1,303$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 78c | 1,288$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.39 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 1,273$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.73 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 3c | 1,205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed No | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 29c | 1,200$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…8ed6backed Yes | 63c | 1,074$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,069$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 9c | 1,050$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 34c | 999.98$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.33 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 35c | 998.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked No | 35c | 998.51$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 982.75$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…d976backed No | 31c | 975$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 925.99$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 26c | 849.86$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 6c | 845.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f481backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 23c | 811.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.