Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660a3e1f37b55847281946515e1329a62f2fec756096390b7b375368349c215c

Rebuilt 14 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $291,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $310,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes	17c	45,135$7,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,672.93	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	17c	40,930$6,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,958.15	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	13c	30,582$3,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,975.62	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	13c	10,998$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.23	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes	18c	6,697$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.18per pick	23cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes	18c	6,495$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.15	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	16c	6,194$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes	15c	3,642$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.98	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	15c	3,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d48…d360backed Yes	10c	3,353$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Yes	13c	3,013$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.36	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	17c	2,550$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.5	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes	18c	2,259$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.54	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes	19c	2,105$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes	16c	2,029$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.68	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Yes	15c	1,740$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	103	35%36 W · 67 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	15c	1,714$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.61	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	17c	1,552$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.52	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes	16c	1,284$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.06	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	13c	1,269$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.92	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes	14c	1,111$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.54	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	16c	1,059$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.5	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes	5c	1,019$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…05b9backed Yes	15c	1,007$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.53	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	14c	1,005$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes	2c	947.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…9ab5backed Yes	11c	908.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	17c	900.74$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	16c	774.01$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.49	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	16c	618.65$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	16c	600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd830…7848backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	17c	588.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Yes	14c	574.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	26.9%28 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ec…b09abacked Yes	16c	494.81$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	18c	444.44$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	14c	413.97$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	262	29.8%78 W · 184 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes	16c	395.83$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Yes	14c	374.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.75	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes	17c	370.59$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes	16c	362.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…646bbacked Yes	16c	355$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	15c	335$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa9…259ebacked Yes	16c	325$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	16c	322.44$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.59	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d67…81f2backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	17c	307$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes	15c	293.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes	18c	279.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes	19c	221.53$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e8…ea32backed Yes	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc813…44dabacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdac…e46bbacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bce…ada1backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes	10c	189.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	16c	188$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa205…c6c6backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9d…4797backed Yes	17c	176.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ac77backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	15c	160$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	157	26.8%42 W · 115 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c7…35a8backed Yes	17c	152.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes	15c	150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8069…be50backed Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7b…3c9ebacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes	16c	125.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-5.9wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa421…c61fbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752f…9332backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c71…48edbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…ccb7backed Yes	17c	117.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cb…6de3backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…09b1backed Yes	17c	108.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…4611backed Yes	16c	107.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c9…c452backed Yes	13c	101.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0950…33c1backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?this page
Will Manchester United vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event